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Can Anyone Beat Kathreya?

We wrote this article recently about the psychology of the group, and happened to mention that Dale might win in a throwaway comment at the end. So, we started looking into it...

To see how popular all the housemates have been over the past five weeks, it's necessary to take a look at the historical bookies' odds. The strongest contender for the first few days of the show was Mikey, who entered the Big Brother House as the favourite to win.

However, by the fourth day Kathreya had caught-up and subsequently overtook her blind peer. The cookie-loving therapist has been the favourite ever since, even going 'odds-on' at one point, meaning you have to stake a large amount for a smaller return i.e. 9/11, you stake £11 but can only win £9 profit, plus your stake back.

A couple of weeks later, after challenging his peers over the Picturegate/ Fight Night II incident, Darnell became really popular, overtaking Luke to become the joint-favourite with Kat last week on odds of 7/4 (i.e. no longer odds-on).

However, as-of today (11th of June 2008), Kat is the clear favourite again on 11/8, Darnell is second-favourite on 4/1 and Luke is just behind on 9/2 (which is close to 5/1).

So, it looks like Kat has the game all sewn-up just like Pete Bennett did in about Week 2 of Big Brother 7. However, we've been chatting to a betting expert recently who reckons that Kat's apparent popularity is really down to the unpopularity of others. Hmm, interesting stuff.

Furthermore, our insider noted that when Pete was favourite week-after-week, he was getting plenty of coverage on the highlights shows, whereas Kat isn't getting much at all really. Also, for a main character, the 30-year-old doesn't do an awful lot, so the betting odds are more about what her peers are doing.

In conclusion, our man in the know suggested that although she won't offend any fans, Kat may not do enough to win the series. And his tip for who could win? Wait for it... Dale!

Dale is currently a fantastic bet, and seeing as his odds tumbled from 66/1 last week to 10/1 this week (you win ten times the amount staked in profit, plus your stake back) we have to admit that there might be something in it. After all, are there any teenage girls out there who don't think Dale is a total hunk?

And as our insider pointed-out, it's generally not the late-20 and 30-something viewers who vote at the evictions, it's the youngsters. That seems a bit shallow, but the housemates really like the trainee teacher too, and Luke and Bex even admitted yesterday that Dale is the most genuine person in there.

So, because Kat ultimately may not come up with the goods, Darnell is something of a ticking time bomb and Luke may become too annoying or bitchy, Dale is a really good bet as the Overall Winner at the moment. And if you read the article mentioned at the top of this page, it's even harder to discount him.

Therefore, even though we think Kat and Luke are still in with a really good chance, we've just backed the original BB9 hunk to win.

To see what we've done, and also get yourself a Free £25 Bet or two, visit our Betting Zone section by clicking here.

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