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Big Brother 9 Betting, Summer 2008

We did well during Big Brother 9, simply by following public opinion once again and not placing too many losing bets along the way. Having won nearly £1000 by the final week of the series, we risked over half of it in the last few days of the game and ended-up clearing almost £2000 in total. If you followed our lead and had a gamble during BB9, however big or small, we hope it paid-off for you too.

Overall Result: won £2075, lost £200, making for a Total Net Profit during Big Brother 9 of £1875. See all our Big Brother 9 bets and our betting from the past five years below.
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Monday, 1st September 2008  (Day 89)
In the last week of the show we placed a number of bets which were, frankly, a bit risky, seeing as the outcome of the series was rather uncertain even at that late stage. Here's what we did:

Staked £320 on Rachel to Win at the odds of 5/2 for a potential profit of £800, and staked £150 on there being a Female Winner at 6/4, for a possible profit of £225. We also staked a couple of side bets, which turned-out to be a waste of money, but hey ho. These were: a £70 stake on Rex to Win at 7/1 for a potential profit of £490, and £50 on Sara to Win at 11/2 for a possible profit of £275. The latter bets were 'just in case', and obviously we knew that we couldn't win all of the bets we placed. Basically, if Rex (who came 4th) had won the series, we'd have suffered a small but tolerable loss of £30; if Sara (who came 3rd) had gone all the way, we would made a moderate profit of £110. However, we were really counting on Rachel winning Big Brother 9, and when she did at the end of the week, we won the £800 as mentioned above, the £225 for a Female Winner, and got our stakes back for those two bets.

We were sweating for a while though, because we hadn't even backed eventual Runner-up Mikey (Michael), partly because his odds were incredibly low towards the end of the series, and partly because no Poll anywhere on the internet said that he would win. In other words, we thought the bookies were wrong by making him the favourite.  Result: £800 profit + £225 profit + £70 loss + £50 loss = net profit of £905.

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Monday, 1st September 2008  (Day 89)
The public had been voting for a winner since Friday night, and fans knew that there would be a surprise Double Eviction on the Tuesday. So, seeing as two-out-of seven people were going, it wasn't entirely clearcut, but nevertheless we staked a relatively small amount, £150, on Mo and Kat becoming the 12th and 13th Evictees at odds of 8/13. Polls had given us a good idea what might happen, and our bet came right when that pair were evicted the following day.  Result: £92 profit.

Tuesday, 19th August 2008  (Day 76)
When the nominees were announced and it was obvious that Nicole could never survive against Lisa and Sara. So, as it was such a certainty, we staked £1000 on the blonde to go, and were rather surprised that bookies were offering the relatively decent odds of 1/8 (you stake £8 to make £1 profit). Nicole's odds subsequently went down to 1/100 on the Friday morning, and then to 1/500 just before the eviction i.e. if you staked £1000 you would win just £2 profit! We expected Nicole to get around 80% in the public vote, but she was evicted with a massive 94% at the 10th Eviction, which consequently made us £125.  Result: £125 profit.

Wednesday, 13th August 2008  (Day 70)
The nominees had been announced the day before (Rachel vs Stuart) and it quickly became obvious that Rachel would survive. So, we put £600 on Stuart to go at the odds of 1/8, and won a profit of £75 (plus our stake back) when he was evicted with 59% on the Friday. Our Poll said 63%.  Result: £75 profit.

Wednesday, 6th August 2008  (Day 63)
The 8th Eviction market didn't go live when the nominees were announced, but by the time it did the following day, we had a good idea that Stu would survive. As the odds were incredibly low (1/14) we had to stake a lot of money to make it worthwhile, and put a bag of sand on Dale to become the 8th Evictee of Big Brother 9. The bet paid off when he was evicted two days later, with 63% of the vote.  Result: £71 profit.

Thursday, 31st July 2008  (Day 57)
Things were different this week as the voting lines were open on the Wednesday and Thursday only, rather than the usual Tuesday to Friday period. The 7th Eviction betting market was available for a brief period on the Thursday, so we staked £300 on Luke to go at the odds of 1/4 (£1 profit for every £4 staked). Once again, our main Poll was really accurate, because Luke left the following day having received 37% in the public vote (against eight other people); our Poll said 38%.  Result: £75 profit.

Tuesday, 22nd July 2008  (Day 48)
The nominees for the 6th Eviction had been announced earlier in the day, so in the evening we placed a £500 bet on Rebecca to go next at odds of 1/4. We hadn't bet on the 'Belinda' eviction the previous week, but were fairly sure from early Poll results that Bex would go this week. And we were right because she got evicted with 65% of the vote, even though she was up-against two other nominees. Our Poll was accurate to within 3% right from the start.  Result: £125 profit.

Friday, 18th July 2008  (Day 44)
Before the 5th Eviction had even taken place (Belinda went later that day), odds for the next eviction were available for a change. So, we placed a speculative bet, trying to guess who might be up and get sent home the following week. It was a total guess so we only staked £20 on Rebecca at 15/8 to become the next evictee. We fully expected to lose as such bets are a huge gamble, but we won nearly £40 plus our stake back when Bex was subsequently up-against Darnell and Mo, and got evicted the following Friday night.  Result: £38 profit.

Friday, 11th July 2008  (Day 37)
We'd just written the below article about Dale's chances of winning, so it would have been mad not to back him at the current odds. Therefore, we put £40 on Dale to become the Overall Winner at odds of 10/1. We stood to make a profit of £400 (plus our stake back), but we lost £40 in the end due to Dale's efforts to get himself put up for nomination. The idiot! Result: £40 loss.

Friday, 11th July 2008  (Day 37)
After making a throwaway comment about Dale possibly winning Big Brother 9, we did some research and wrote this article, giving reasons why he might actually do it and stating how good a bet we thought he was.

Thursday, 10th July 2008  (Day 36)
We published this article looking at the fun Big Brother markets available in advance of the 4th Eviction the following day.

Wednesday, 9th July 2008  (Day 35)
The fourth round nominees had been announced the day before, and by the Wednesday lunchtime it was clear that the public wanted Mario out. So, we staked £1000 on Mario to go at the lowish odds of 1/3 and returned over £1300 when he was evicted with 77% of the vote at the 4th Eviction.  Result: £333 profit.

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Monday, 30th June 2008  (Day 26)
In light of our recent bet backing Darnell to win, we published this article looking at who had become more (and less) popular since the Fight Night II bust-up of Day 22.

Friday, 27th June 2008  (Day 23)
The bookies made Darnell second favourite after his arguably admiral involvement in the Fight Night shenanigans. So, we staked our second £25 Free Bet (you get one from Paddy Power and also one from Blue Square, see below) on Darnell to Win Big Brother 9 at odds of 5/1. If the albino songwriter had gone all the way, we'd have made £125 (5 x the amount staked). Ultimately, though, Darnell didn't win the series but we lost nothing because it was a Free Bet.  Result: neither a profit nor a loss.

Tuesday, 24th June 2008  (Day 20)
For our second bet of the day, we waited until late in the evening on the day the nominees were announced and backed Sylvia to go at the 2nd Eviction. To be honest, it was a complete no-brainer and there was no reason to believe that Polls, which had Sylvia at over 80% against Mo, would be wrong. Indeed, Sylvia left with over 90% in the public vote on Friday night, so our £500 stake was returned along with a profit of £71 (the early odds were a low 1/7, but eventually drifted to 1/33).  Result: £71 profit.

Tuesday, 24th June 2008  (Day 20)
We backed Kat to win last week and Luke to win this week. However, we published this article today saying that you could do well to back Luke, but place your Free Bet on Kat.

Tuesday, 24th June 2008  (Day 20)
We used our Free £25 Bet to back Luke to Win, just in case his odds plummeted if his popularity started rising. So, we staked £25 at odds of 4/1 (£4 profit for every £1 staked), and we would have made a profit of £100 if the bet had come right. However, we lost our stake when Luke was evicted at the 7th Eviction on Day 58, but we hadn't risked a penny because the bet was Free from one of the bookies linked-to above/ below.  Result: we lost our stake, but it cost us nothing!

Friday, 20th June 2008 (Day 16)
We published this article justifying why we'd backed Kat to win.

Friday, 20th June 2008  (Day 16)
Feedback from fans hinted that Kat was the most popular housemate and a new Poll on our Home page confirmed it. So, we backed Kathreya to Win Big Brother 9 with a £40 stake at odds of 2/1. The odds were quite low given that the series still had 11 weeks to run, but we stood to return £120 if Kat had gone all the way. Unfortunately, despite the fact that Kat was the favourite to win most of the way through the series, we lost our stake when she was evicted at the Double Eviction in the final week of the show.  Result: £40 loss.

Monday, 9th June 2008  (Day 5)
After the four fakers failed the wedding task and were put up for eviction, later that day we staked £80 at 4/7 on Steph (£4 profit for every £7 staked) because the early feedback said that the public were blaming her for the failure. However, as the 1st Eviction approached it looked like Mario might be going due to a turnaround in public opinion. Steph got evicted though, so we did okay in the end. Phew!  Result: £45 profit.

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It's very quick and easy to check the odds and place a bet online with online bookie Paddy Power, even if you've never placed a bet before. So, if you want to check-out the latest odds on all sorts of different markets (Reality TV, the football, the horses etc) and get yourself a FREE £25 Bet, just click here and sign-up, which literally takes a minute or two.

To qualify for your Free £25 credit, which is automatically added to your account, all you have to do is debit £25 and bet (i.e. place a bet worth at least £25). This offer is available to new customers only and your subsequent bets can be for lower amounts if you wish. Actually, if you only want to stake £10, you'll still get a Free Bet, but it will only be for £10, so Paddy Power matches what you put in (up to £25). The Free bet can be used to bet on anything, not just Big Brother, and in fact your first bet doesn't have to be on Big Brother either.

To see the latest Big Brother betting odds, head for the 'Novelty Bets' section in the left-hand margin and then select 'Big Brother'. Please note that certain Big Brother markets are sometimes taken off the Paddy Power site according to what's happening in the House. Odds can be removed on Mondays for instance, as the nominations take place then.

NOTE: You Can Also Get A FREE £25 BET From Blue Square:

Paddy Power always offer a wide range of markets for Big Brother, but you can also get yourself another £25 Bet by signing-up with online bookie Blue Square.

So, aswell as using the Paddy Power website regularly as we do (link above), you can also sign-up with Blue Square by clicking here. Unlike Paddy Power though, you MUST stake at least £25 to qualify for your Free Bet, and they match it with a Free £25 Bet. But, Blue Square also give you another Free £25 once you've made 10 bets. Check-out the 'Specials' section at the top of the page for the Big Brother odds, but as with Paddy Power you can bet on any market to qualify for your Free Bet, you are not limited to Big Brother

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