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Big Brother 6 Betting

Not a fantastic series for us in terms of betting, mainly because everyone we backed to win (Makosi, Kemal and then Derek) got booted-out one by one! As far as the bookies were concerned, Anthony was looking likely to win for the last three weeks, so his odds were quite low. By then it was necessary to stake reasonably large amounts of cash in order to back him, so we were reluctant to do that until the final week.

Still, the amount we made is not to be sniffed at... it's a good job Eugene didn't win though, or we'd have made almost nothing! If you went for a flutter during BB6, we hope you made a good profit like us.

Overall Result: won £1471, lost £590, making for a Total Net Profit during Big Brother 6 of £881.
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Monday 8th August 2005 (Day 74) - 2nd Bet
We hadn't backed Anthony to win up until now, but on this very page we said about the possibility of him winning, "We honestly can't see any other outcome". As Eugene had temporarily gained popularity, Ant's odds improved from 2/5, so we jumped-in and basically staked everything we'd won so far. Staking £500 on him to win at 8/13 (£8 back for every £13 staked), we returned almost £808 when he won the series at the end of the week. Result: £308 profit.

Monday 8th August 2005 (Day 74) - 1st Bet
With just five housemates left in the game and the public voting for a Winner, we backed Craig to be the next to leave the House. Odds were low, as it was almost a certainty, so we had to stake £250 at 1/3 to win a profit of £83 when he got booted-out on the Wednesday. Result: £83 profit.

Friday 5th August 2005 (Day 71)
Here's an article we published in our Latest News section looking at whether it was still worth betting on who might win, a week before the Finale.

Wednesday 27th July 2005 (Day 62)
Here's an article we published in our Latest News section about the latest 'Outright Winner' odds and who the bookies think will win.

Tuesday 19th July 2005 (Day 54)
The nominees had just been announced and it was Science versus Orlaith. Straight away, according to the Polls it looked extremely close - in fact, it remained 50/50 all week. So, we backed Orlaith to go using some of the potential winnings from our bet on Science, placed two days before. That way, we literally couldn't lose this week and made a profit of £70 overall. At odds of 4/11, we'd staked £250 on Orlaith becoming the next evictee, a bet we lost when she survived at the 8th Eviction. Result: £250 loss, but see the following bet.

Sunday 17th July 2005 (Day 52)
In yet another speculative bet, we backed Science to go at odds of 8/1 with a £40 stake. He subsequently became one of the two nominees on the following Tuesday and then got kicked-out at the 8th Eviction by the slimmest margin possible (50.5%). As a result we returned £360, but we'd also lost our bet on Orlaith (see above) at the same time. Result: £320 profit.

Wednesday 13th July 2005 (Day 48)
Our speculative bet on Craig at the weekend backfired when BB implemented the 'lying' twist. So, in a case of 'in for a penny, in for a pound', we placed a bet on Vanessa being the one to go at the 7th Eviction - she and Makosi were neck-and-neck in the Polls, but we felt that Vanessa was disliked more within the House. At odds of 15/8, our £50 stake gave us a profit of almost £94 when she was kicked-out two days later, but we also lost £30 this week. It just shows that you can make-good a bad bet (at a risk). Result: £94 profit.

Here's an article we published on the same day in our Latest News section, about the latest 'Next Eviction' and 'Outright Winner' odds.

Saturday 9th July 2005 (Day 44)
Another speculative bet in advance of the nominations, we backed Craig to go at the 7th Eviction. However, due to Big Bro's 'lying' twist, Craig wasn't actually up for eviction this week and so we lost our money. Our £30 stake at odds of 11/4 would have returned us £112.50 (£82.50 profit plus our stake back) if he'd have been evicted. Result: £30 loss.

Wednesday 6th July 2005 (Day 41)
Bookies were offering lower odds on fellow nominee Science, meaning they thought the rapper was likely to go at the 6th Eviction (this was the case right up until the actual eviction). However, we begged to differ, and so even though we'd already backed him to go two days before, we backed Maxwell with a further stake of £30 at odds of 9/4 (£9 profit for every £4 staked). When he was evicted on the Friday night we returned almost £98. Result: £68 profit.

Monday 4th July 2005 (Day 39)
Another speculative bet, we backed Maxwell to become the 6th Evictee by staking £20 at odds of 7/2 on the day of the 6th Nominations. Even though he was unpopular with the public, Craig's odds were 5/4 the day before, making it not worthwhile backing him. At the time, Max polled 26% and Craig 18% (Vanessa next with 13%). Max went on to become one of the nominees and was subsequently booted-out at the 6th Eviction. Therefore, we returned £90. Result: £70 profit.

Thursday 30th June 2005 (Day 35)
Just before his odds went right down, we decided to back Derek to Win the series 'just in case'. What we mean by that, is that we didn't really expect him to win, but were covering the money we'd already staked (£230 so far) should he do-so. Effectively, we were saying that we thought the Winner would be between Makosi, Kemal and Derek, but we also mentioned Anthony as a possible winner. We staked a low'ish £40 on Del Boy at odds of 7/1, so if he'd won the series we'd have returned £320. However, he failed to win and so we lost our stake. Result: £40 loss.

Wednesday 29th June 2005 (Day 34)
The nominees had been announced the day before and Saskia was looking more and more likely to be evicted. So, after encouraging someone in our Forum to place a bet, we took our own advice and backed her to go with a £150 stake! The odds were a lowly 1/4 (£1 back for every £4 staked) so it was quite a gamble, but we'd already made a few 'quid so far and were pretty sure that she was going. We returned almost £138 when she was evicted on the Friday. Result: £38 profit.

Monday 27th June 2005(Day 32)
On the 5th Nomination Day, the day before the nominations were revealed, we backed Maxwell and Saskia to be the next evictee of the series. Our Poll said that you wanted that pair out most, so we staked £40 on Saskia at 13/8 and £25 on Max at 3/1. As it turned out, we'd actually picked the two nominees so we couldn't lose overall. Of course, we lost our stake on Maxwell, but returned £105 from our bet on Saskia when she was evicted on the Friday. Result: £65 profit + £25 loss = net profit of £40.

Here's an article we published on the same day in our Latest News section, about the latest 'Outright Winner' odds.

Saturday 18th June 2005 (Day 23)
On the same day as our pre-4th Nominations bets, we decided to back Kemal to win the series. We'd missed backing him at 5/1 and felt that his odds would keep coming down. So, we placed a £65 each way bet on Kemal to become the Outright Winner of Big Brother 6 at odds of 9/2 (total staked £130). This would have returned us £495 if he'd won, or almost £140 if he'd come in the Top 3. However, he did neither and so we lost our stake. Result: £130 loss.

FYI: In case you're wondering how that potential Winning amount breaks down, it's: £65 stake x 4.5 (the odds i.e. 9 divided by 2) = £292.50, plus our stake back of £65, which totals £357.50. Then, quarter the odds, 1.125 x £65 (the other £65 we staked due to the 'each way' element) = £73.13, plus the second £65 stake back, which totals £138.13. Add those two totals together and you get the figure of £495.63. We could have just staked £130 on Kemal to win (not each way) and the possible returns on such a bet would have been £715. However, if Kemal went-on to come 2nd or 3rd in the game, we would lose our entire stake of £130. In hindsight, perhaps that might have been a better gamble? That said, each-way betting is a compromise between potential profit and potential loss. Basically, we'd now backed Makosi and Kemal to win, but if they were to come 2nd and 3rd we'd at least get our stake money back plus a few 'quid. If we hadn't placed 'each way' bets, we would lose £230 in that scenario.

Saturday 18th June 2005 (Day 23)
In advance of the 4th Nominations, we placed another speculative bet, this time on three potential evictees. Derek's odds were too low to make such a gamble worthwhile, so we backed Maxwell with a 'tenner at 5/1, Saskia with a £10 stake at 6/1 and Roberto with a £20 stake at 7/2. So, we staked a total of just £40 and it was never going to be a big winner for us. However, when Roberto was evicted at the 4th Eviction, even though we lost our stakes on Max and Saskia, we still cleared a profit of £50 (£7 for every £2 staked, plus our stake back - Roberto). Result: £70 profit + £10 loss + £10 loss = net profit of £50.

Sunday 12th June 2005 (Day 17)
We decided to go for another speculative bet this week, so on the Sunday night before the 3rd Nominations took place we staked £80 on Sam at odds of 2/1 and £55 on Derek at 11/8 to be 'next to go' (you have to keep checking back to bet on this market as it's not available all the time). These turned out to be fairly good bets as we'd managed to pick 2 out of the 3 possible evictees announced two days later. A total of £135 was staked, although obviously we couldn't win with both bets - the bet on Derek was just to try and safeguard our stake on Sam really and wouldn't have been very profitable had Sam stayed. When Sam was evicted at the 3rd Eviction we returned £240 (2 x £80 + our stake back). Result: £160 profit + £55 loss = net profit of £105.

Wednesday 8th June 2005 (Day 13)
Our bet on Sam, placed a couple of days before (see below), was looking dodgy when we noticed a swing against Lesley in her popularity with the public. So, we decided to back her to go at the 2nd Eviction before her odds plummeted. Staking £200 at odds of 8/11 (£8 profit for every £11 staked), we returned £345 when Lesley got the boot on the Friday night. Result: £145 profit.

Monday 6th June 2005 (Day 11)
On the Monday before the nominees were even announced, we backed Sam to be 'next to go' at odds of 7/4. Staking just £40, we would have made a profit of £75 (plus our stake back) if the bet had come good. However, although Sam did go-on to become a possible evictee and was undoubtedly unpopular, by the time the 2nd Eviction had come around Lesley was more unpopular due to her bullying. We lost money on this bet, but see above. Result: £40 loss.

Friday 3rd June 2005 (Day 8)
For our first bet of the series we decided to back Makosi just before the 1st Eviction. Even though she'd been given Big Bro's secret task and was unpopular in the House in that first week, we thought the public would like her and we wanted to get in before her odds went down. Therefore, we staked £50 each way at odds of 8/1 on Makosi winning Big Brother 6 (total cost £100). This would have returned us £600 if she'd won, but she messed things up with the pregnancy claims and her popularity went down the pan thereafter. Still, we said it wasn't a bad gamble and we were right, because she eventually came third which returned us £150. Result: £50 profit.

Check The Latest Odds/ Get A FREE £25 Bet:
By the way, it's very quick and easy to place a bet online at Blue Square, even if you've never bet before. So, if you want to check-out the latest odds on all sorts of different markets (Reality TV, horses, footy etc) and get yourself a Free £25 bet, click here. For BB betting odds, head for the 'Specials' section and then 'TV Specials'. To qualify for a Free £25 credit, which is added automatically to your account, all you have to do is debit £25 and bet (i.e. place a bet worth at least £25).

Please note that Big Brother odds are sometimes taken off the Blue Square site at around 8.30pm and sometimes earlier in the day, according to what's happening in the House. This is also the case for different Big Brother markets like 'Next To Go', which is not available from Sunday night through to Tuesday night. If this is the case, please come back another time.

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